1.Market Overview: Musi wa26 Chivabvu, iyo nzvimbo yekutsinhana kweUSD inopesana neRMB yakawira pasi peiyo yakatenderera mamaki ye6.40, ine yakaderera transaction iri 6.3871.Kukoshesa kweRMB kunopesana neUSD kwakakwira kutsva kubva pakanetsana pakutengeserana pakati peChina neUS mukutanga kwaMay 2018.
2. Zvikonzero zvikuru: Zvikonzero zvikuru zvekuti RMB ipindezve mugwara rekutenda kubva muna Kubvumbi zvinobva pane zvinotevera, zvinoratidza kutenderera uye zvishoma nezvishoma zvine musoro hukama hwekutapurirana:
(1) Izvo zvakakosha zveRMB yakasimba hazvina kushanduka zvakanyanya: kuwedzera kwekudyara kwekudyara uye madhipoziti emadhora ekuUS anokonzerwa neSino-yekunze mubereko wekusiyana uye kuvhurwa kwemari, kuwanda kwakawanda kunokonzerwa nekutsinhanisa kunze kwenyika, uye kukosha kwakanyanya. yemakakatanwa eSino-US;
(2) Dhora rekunze rinoramba richipera simba: kubva pakutanga kwaApril, dhora remadhora rakawa ne 3.8% kubva ku93.23 kusvika ku89.70 nekuda kwekutangira-reflation uye kutonhora kwepamusoro-soro yenguva refu yekuda.Pasi pechirongwa chiripo chepakati chepakati, RMB yawana mari inosvika 2.7% zvichienzaniswa nedhora rekuAmerica.
(3) Kupihwa uye kudiwa kwekugadziriswa kwemari yekunze nekutengesa kunowanzo kuve kwakadzikama: iyo yakasara yekugadziriswa kwemari yekunze uye kutengeswa muna Kubvumbi yakaderedzwa kusvika 2.2 bhiriyoni emadhora ekuAmerica, uye zvakasara zvezvinobva muchibvumirano zvakare zvakadzikira zvakanyanya kana zvichienzaniswa nekare. period.Sezvo musika uchipinda mumwaka wedividendi uye yekutenga mari yekunze, kuwanikwa kwese uye kudiwa kunowanzo kuve kwakadzikama, zvichiita kuti RMB yekuchinjana iwedzere kutarisisa mutengo wedhora rekuAmerica uye tarisiro yemusika panguva ino.
(4) Kubatana pakati peUSD, RMB uye USD index yakawedzera zvakanyanya, asi kusagadzikana kwakaderera zvakanyanya: kuwirirana kwakanaka pakati peUSD neUSD index ndeye 0.96 kubva munaApril kusvika May, zvakanyanya kudarika 0.27 munaJanuary.Zvichakadaro, kushata kwakaitika kwe onshore RMB exchange rate muna Ndira inenge 4.28% (30-day leveling), uye ingori 2.67% kubva muna Kubvumbi 1. Chiitiko ichi chinoratidza kuti musika urikungotevera chimiro cheUS dollar, uye tarisiro yeplate yevatengi zvishoma nezvishoma inogadzikana, kugadziriswa kwepamusoro kwekutsinhanisa kune dzimwe nyika, kutenga kwakaderera kwemari yekunze, kuderedza kusagadzikana kwemusika;
(5) Muchirevo chechinyorwa chino, kudonha kwechangobva kuitika kwe0.7% muvhiki apo dhora reUnited States rakaputsika makumi mapfumbamwe, mari yekunze yekunze yakaputsika imwe trillion yuan, guta guru rekuchamhembe rakawedzera nemakumi emabhiriyoni eyuan, uye tarisiro yeRMB kuonga yakaonekwa zvakare. .Mumusika wakaenzana, iyo RMB yakakurumidza kusimuka pamusoro pe6.4.
3. Chikamu Chinotevera: Kusvikira dhora rinokosha rebound raitika, tinotenda kuti maitiro ekutenda aripo achaenderera mberi.Kana zvinotarisirwa nevatengi zvisina kujeka uye zvichidzorwa nemanzwiro avo uye kubudirira kweakaunzi uye kurasikirwa kwekambani, vanowanzoratidza maitiro akafanana nekugadzirisa kusagadzikana kwekutsinhana uye kukoshesa kuonga muna Ndira gore rino.Parizvino, hapana musika wakazvimiririra wakazvimiririra weRMB, uye pasi pekumanikidzwa kunoramba kuripo kwedhora reUS, tarisiro yekutenda iri pachena.
Nguva yekutumira: 27-05-21