Kwenguva yakati, mwero wekutsinhana weRMB uchipesana nedhora rekuAmerica wakanyanya kunaka.Izvo zvinonyanya kutyaira zvinhu zvekukoshesa kweRMB kuburitswa kwemari yeFed, kudzikira kwemari.dhora rekuAmerica,kuvandudzwa kwehupfumi hweChina, kuwedzera kwekutengeserana kwasara, kupararira kukuru kwemabhondi eSino-US, uye kuwanda kwemari muChina.Pakati pezvinhu zvose izvi, kuderera kwedhora ndicho chinhu chinonyanya kukosha chakananga.Tichitarisira maitiro edhora mugore rino, kusavimbika kwevanodyara mari kuchaderera tichitarisira kugadziridzwa kwehupfumi hwenyika.Zvichisanganiswa nemitengo yakaderera yemubereko kubva kuFederal Reserve uye kuwedzera kuderera kwekushandiswa kwemari zvichitevera kurudziro yehurumende yeUS isati yamboitika, dhora rinoonekwa nevakawanda serichawedzera kupera simba, vamwe vachiona imwe 5% kusvika 10% ichidzikira muna 2021. Somugumisiro. pamusoro pezvinhu zviri pamusoro zviri kuramba zviripo, mwero wekuchinjana weramangwana weRMB uchipesana nedhora rekuAmerica ucharamba uchiwedzera kukoshesa kudiki.
Kunze kwezvimwe zvinhu, ko kungotenda renminbi pamusoro pedhora rekuAmerica kungaite sei pamusika wesimbi wekuChina?Kuongorora kwekutanga kunosanganisira zvinhu zvitanhatu zvinotevera:
1. Kurudzira kutengwa kunze kwenyika uye kusakurudzira kutengesa kunze kwenyika.Renminbi yakasimba inopesana nedhora yaizodzikisa mutengo wekutengesa kunze uye kukwidza mutengo wekutengesa kunze.Nekuda kweizvozvo, inosungirwa kuburitsa iron ore, chakaraswa simbi, billet, simbi uye zvimwe zvinhu zvesimbi zvinounza incentive, uye inhibit kutengeswa kunze kwenyika kwesimbi uye simbi yekushandisa zvigadzirwa.Kubva gore rapfuura, simbi uye nhema dzakatevedzana dzezvinhu zvekupinza uye kunze kwenyika zvakaratidza zvishoma shanduko iyi.Sekureva kweGeneral Administration of Customs, China yakaunza kunze kwenyika anopfuura mamirioni makumi maviri ematani esimbi muna 20, inodarika makumi matanhatu muzana kubva gore rapfuura.Mumwedzi mina yekutanga yegore rino, kutengwa kwesimbi kuChina kwakakwira nezvikamu gumi nezvinomwe kubva muzana gore negore.Neyo yenyika macro-control policy, China'ssimbi uye nhema dzakatevedzanamamiriro ezvinhu ekunze uye kunze kwenyika kwekuchinja kuri pamusoro, kuchasimba nekuda kwekukoshesa kweRMB exchange rate ichienzaniswa nedhora, inotarisirwa kuti gore rino simbi yemunyika inotengwa kunze kwenyika ingangosvika matani 30 miriyoni, ichienderera mberi nekupa yakawanda. kukura mamiriro.
2. Dzvinyirira mitengo yesimbi yemumba kuti ikwire nekukurumidza uye zvakanyanya.Iron nesimbi zvinhu zvinounza kuwedzera uye kunze kwenyika zvinodzvinyirirwa, kana pane zvimwe zvinhu zvekupa uye kudiwa zvinhu zvisina kuchinjika, hongu, kurerutsa musika wesimbi musika uye kudiwa, uye kuburitsa zvinoenderana zvinotarisirwa, nekudaro kudzvanya mitengo yemumba simbi nekukurumidza, zvakare. kusimuka kunotyisa.Pamberi pesimbi yenyika uye nhema dzakatevedzana dzemitengo yezvinhu dzakadonha zvakanyanya, iyo renminbi inopesana nedhora rekuchinja kweyero kukoshesa zvakare kumanikidza.
3. Inobatsira ku "carbon peak" uye "carbon neutral".Mushure mekutenda kwemari yemumba yekukurudzira kupinza uye kurambidza kutengesa kunze kwenyika, kuwanikwa kwemukati uye kudiwa nerubatsiro rwemisika yepasi rose migero yekuvandudza, inosungirwa kudzikisa kudzvanywa kumabhizinesi esimbi epamba kuti awedzere kugadzirwa.Kudzikira kunoenderana nekukura kwekubuda kwesimbi dzemudzimba nemabhizinesi emigodhi kuchaderedzawo kuburitsa kabhoni, nekudaro kubatsira madhipatimendi ekuita sarudzo kuzadzisa zvinangwa zve "carbon peak" uye "carbon neutral".
4. Wedzera purofiti yemakambani edzimba simbi.Kukosheswa kwemutengo weRMB wekuchinjana nedhora rekuAmerica kwadzikisira mitengo yekunze kwesimbi, simbi yakaraswa, marasha ekukoka, mafuta negasi, billet zvichingodaro.Panguva imwecheteyo, mitengo yesimbi inoramba ichikwira, izvo zvichaita kuti mabhizinesi esimbi awane kuwedzera purofiti.
5. Favorite A-share simbi ndiro.Mabhizinesi edzimba simbi nesimbi kuti awane purofiti kupfuura kukura kunotarisirwa, kuumbwa kwechisikigo kwehwaro hwakasimba hwemibairo yepamusoro.Uye kuwedzera kwegoho rekugovera, uye maitiro akanaka, uye achakwezva mari yemagariro inotsvakwa, kusanganisira kuchamhembe kweguta guru, iyo yakanaka kune A-share steel plate.
6. Kuwedzera kuwedzera mukaha pakati pemitengo yesimbi yemumba neyekunze.Panguva ino, yepasi rosesimbimusika wakaoma uye mutengo wemusika wesimbi wepasi rose wakakwira zvakanyanya kupfuura mwero wepamba.Kukosheswa kweyuan maringe nedhora, uko kunoparira kutengwa kwesimbi kunze kwenyika uye kumisa kutengeswa kunze kwenyika, kuchawedzera mukaha uripo pakati pemitengo yesimbi yemumba neyekunze.
Kwakabva: Chen Kexin, muongorori mukuru paLange Iron & Steel Economic Research Center
Shanduro yesoftware yeshanduro, kana paine chakanganisa ndapota regererai.
Nguva yekutumira: 03-06-21